When can the binomial or Poisson be approximated by the normal or Poisson, and how is the continuity correction applied?
Approximate the binomial by the Poisson or the normal, and the Poisson by the normal, under stated conditions, applying a continuity correction where appropriate
A focused answer to the H2 Mathematics outcome on distribution approximations. The conditions for the Poisson and normal approximations to the binomial and the normal approximation to the Poisson, and the continuity correction.
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What this dot point is asking
SEAB wants you to approximate one distribution by another under the stated conditions: the binomial by the Poisson (large , small ), the binomial by the normal (large , not too extreme), and the Poisson by the normal (large ), applying a continuity correction when approximating a discrete variable by a continuous one.
The answer
Poisson approximation to the binomial
When is large and is small (a common guide is and ), with moderate,
No continuity correction is needed because both are discrete.
Normal approximation to the binomial
When is large with and ,
A continuity correction is needed because a discrete variable is being approximated by a continuous one.
Normal approximation to the Poisson
When is large (a common guide is ),
Again a continuity correction applies.
The continuity correction
To approximate a discrete count by a continuous normal, widen each integer by half a unit:
Forgetting the half-unit shift is the commonest error.
Examples in context
Example 1. Polling. A national poll of thousands of voters models the count supporting a party with but computes it via the normal approximation, since is huge and moderate, with a continuity correction for exact counts.
Example 2. Call centre load. Calls at per hour are well approximated by , letting a manager estimate the probability of exceeding capacity using normal tables rather than summing many Poisson terms.
Try this
Q1. State the conditions for approximating the binomial by the Poisson. [2 marks]
- Cue. large and small (so is moderate), with .
Q2. Apply the continuity correction to for a normal approximation. [1 mark]
- Cue. .
Q3. For , state the normal approximation's mean and variance. [2 marks]
- Cue. Mean , variance .
Exam-style practice questions
Practice questions written in the style of SEAB exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.
Original5 marksA biased coin lands heads with probability . It is tossed times. Using a suitable approximation, find the probability of at least heads.Show worked answer →
. Since is large and , , use the normal approximation: (mean , variance ).
"At least " with continuity correction: .
Standardise: .
.
Markers reward the normal approximation with correct parameters, the continuity correction to , standardising, and the tail probability.
Original4 marksA rare disease affects of a population. In a sample of , use a suitable approximation to find the probability of exactly case.Show worked answer →
. Since is large and is small with , approximate by the Poisson: .
.
Markers reward the Poisson approximation with , the Poisson formula, and the probability.
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